The Blue Grid Files
The ledger

The source ledger

Published 2 October 2026

The record behind the story. Every link below is used in the text.

Reporting cutoff: 30 September 2026. Annual filings, historical records, official statistics and dated reporting are kept distinct. Forecasts are labelled with their publication year; original arithmetic is identified as a scenario. The unverified Jhunjhunwala operators wording is not used as a quote.

126 linked sources

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  8. https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1951-54IranEd2/d363
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  11. https://history.state.gov/milestones/1989-1992/gulf-war
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  19. https://tass.com/economy/2195135
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  34. https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/IN/PDF/IN12637/IN12637.1.pdf
  35. https://www.eia.gov/TODAYINENERGY/detail.php?id=66884
  36. https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/natural-gas/liquefied-natural-gas.php
  37. https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/refining-crude-oil-inputs-and-outputs.php
  38. https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/refining-crude-oil.php
  39. https://www.eia.gov/finance/markets/crudeoil/spot_prices.php
  40. https://www.eia.gov/finance/markets/crudeoil/supply-opec.php
  41. https://www.eia.gov/finance/review/annual/
  42. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/India/
  43. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/special_topics/World_Oil_Transit_Chokepoints
  44. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/BTL/2023/11-Russia/article.php
  45. https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/presentations/sieminski_01042014.pdf
  46. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=20572
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  53. https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/anti-inflation-measures
  54. https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/gold-convertibility-ends
  55. https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/oil-shock-of-1973-74
  56. https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/oil-shock-of-1978-79
  57. https://www.glencore.com/media-and-insights/news/preliminary-results-2025
  58. https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/BILLS-119hr5334enr/xhtml/BILLS-119hr5334enr.html
  59. https://www.hindustanpetroleum.com/NewsroomDetails/439
  60. https://www.hindustanpetroleum.com/NewsroomDetails/459
  61. https://www.hindustanpetroleum.com/board-of-directors
  62. https://www.history.navy.mil/about-us/leadership/director/directors-corner/h-grams/h-gram-018/h-018-1.html
  63. https://www.ice.com/brent-crude
  64. https://www.ice.com/products/219
  65. https://www.ice.com/products/219/Brent-Crude-Futures
  66. https://www.iea.org/about/mission/history-of-the-iea
  67. https://www.iea.org/about/oil-security-and-emergency-ission/strait-of-hormuz
  68. https://www.iea.org/commentaries/russian-refining-sector-struggles-amid-intensifying-ukrainian-attacks
  69. https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/oil-stocks-of-iea-countries
  70. https://www.iea.org/news/iea-member-countries-to-carry-out-largest-ever-oil-stock-release-amid-market-disruptions-from-middle-east-conflict
  71. https://www.iea.org/news/update-on-iea-collective-action-decision-of-11-march-2026
  72. https://www.iea.org/reports/coal-2025/demand
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  75. https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2025/outlook-for-energy-demand
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  77. https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2026/outlook-for-electric-mobility-chap-9-11
  78. https://www.iea.org/reports/india-oil-market-report/executive-summary
  79. https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-september-2026
  80. https://www.ief.org/about/jodi
  81. https://www.ief.org/about/the-ief
  82. https://www.igpandi.org/article/iranpersian-gulf-update-on-cover/
  83. https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/wp/2025/english/wpiea2025178-source-pdf.pdf
  84. https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/03/30/how-the-war-in-the-middle-east-is-affecting-energy-trade-and-finance
  85. https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/07/29/pr26267-saudi-arabia-imf-concludes-2026-aiv
  86. https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/budget_archive/es1991-92_A/2%20The%20Payments%20Crisis.pdf
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  88. https://www.nayaraenergy.com/vadinar-refinery
  89. https://www.opec.org/brief-history.html
  90. https://www.opec.org/member-countries.html
  91. https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1835613-6-september-2026.html
  92. https://www.paulweiss.com/insights/client-memos/president-signs-bipartisan-russia-and-iran-sanctions-bill-into-law-key-provisions-of-the-lindsey-o-graham-sanctioning-russia-and-iran-act-of-2026
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  112. https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/
  113. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-awaits-us-move-after-wsj-report-says-trump-rejects-peace-plan-2026-09-26/
  114. https://www.ril.com/ar2024-25/oil-and-gas.html
  115. https://www.ril.com/ar2025-26/oil-to-chemicals.html
  116. https://www.rosneft.com/business/Downstream/Neftepererabotka/Nayara_Energy_Limited/
  117. https://www.semafor.com/article/09/30/2026/white-house-manages-expectations-for-iran-breakthrough
  118. https://www.telegraphindia.com/business/india-wont-go-cold-turkey-on-russian-oil-despite-us-threat-of-100-tariff/cid/2182354
  119. https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/commodities/fuel-rationing-begins-at-indias-reliance-nayara-pumps-as-crude-prices-surge/article71523261.ece
  120. https://www.trafigura.com/news-and-insights/insights/2025-trafigura-annual-results/financial-review/
  121. https://www.trafigura.com/news-and-insights/press-releases/2025/trafigura-publishes-2025-annual-results/
  122. https://www.trafigura.com/news-and-insights/press-releases/2025/trafigura-renews-usd5-6-billion-revolving-credit-facilities/
  123. https://www.ukpandi.com/fileadmin/uploads/ukpandi/00_Documents/Circulars/2026/Circular_04.26_War_Notice_of_Cancellation_%E2%80%93_Iran___Persian_Arabian_Gulf__2_.pdf
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  125. https://www.vitol.com/vitol-2025-volumes-and-review/
  126. https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2026/09/congressional-bill-h-r-5334-signed-into-law/

What remains unknown

Exact personal OMC trade profits for Jhunjhunwala, current fill of Indian emergency reserves, final September customs totals and a definitive outcome of current negotiations are not established by this file. Retail limits and some shipping observations are attributed reporting, not independently witnessed events.

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